Chapter 4 - Scanning & Uncertainty
Looking into the future is like looking at a far-away horizon–some shapes and movement can be seen, but it’s not always possible to know what those shapes are nor what the movement means. This is the inherent problem with looking into the future without the proper thinking and scanning tools. In an uncertain world, the future frequently arrives too fast ... and often in the wrong order. Our current professional worlds are underinvested in the future. We need to provide them a playbook to chart for better, more confident courses.
Five Highlights from Scanning and Uncertainty:
The Value of Scanning & Proactive Futures Work in the C-Suite
We served up the anthem for senior leaders to engage in this work and not treat it as less serious, play time. As a matter of survival and avoid the stresses and hiccups of disruption, executives need to be a s good at determining and spotting the future as they are this quarter, maybe better.
Design Fiction - an Important Process and Tool for Thinking About the Future
We documented design fiction's four steps as a new paradigm from which to build your strategy. As part of a larger initiative to think differently about the future of your organization, design fiction taps the imaginations of your stakeholders (instead of predicting with certainty) in a way traditional strategy does not.
Discovery of Patterns Landscapes and Megatrends of Opportunity
We looked at new ways of envisioning futures with three key differences: convergence, divergence: and cyclicality, Professionals need to explore new possibilities and have a more oriented view of the future that can be different and not be afraid to look beyond the boundaries of uncertainty, because the the best is waiting there for us.
Creative Systems Theory and our Investment in Creative Framing
We instilled the need to go beyond the mechanistic assumptions of Modern Age thought and allow us to think in ways that better reflect our living human natures. Key to Creative theory’s success with this essential task is the way that it reframes the workings of multiple intelligence.layers - the body, the imagination, the emotions, and the intellect.
Reengagement of Futures Consciousness Assessed by Five Dimensions
As seen through the vignette of young people potential in Africa, we proposed safaris of imagination/sensemaking, to replace fatalism with foresight and to make sense of a world that is in constant flux. We demonstrated this through improvements in: Time Perspective, Systems Perceptions, Concern for Others, Openness to Alternatives, and Agency Beliefs.
Scanning & Uncertainty - Components:
Why the C-Suite Needs Design Fiction (Gina Clifford)
Beyond Scenarios: The limits of uncertainty and vectors of imagination of a blurred world (David Kalisz)
Creative Systems Theory’s Concept of Cultural Maturity (Charles Johnston) A Safari Systems Map for Engaging with Africa’s Youth Bulge: A Trauma-Informed Futures Approach to Reconciling the Past, Reengaging the Present, and Reimaging the Future for Marginalized Youth (Stephen Lichty)
SCANNING AND UNCERTAINTY
Our Scanning chpater helps orient the mind with foresight and futures thinking tools, so that it’s possible to identify the shapes and the movement seen far out in the horizon.
Some of what we cover off in our book Uncertainty is to act on less then 100% sureness, our Scanning chapter gets you prepared in such a way that opens the door to facing uncertainty
Looking at the horizon and understanding what is before us helps identify opportunities to drive towards. It’s those opportunities that allow organizations and professionals to evolve and stay relevant.
Many of our C-Suite leaders and executive teams are great at wrestling to the ground the current, the knowable, the solvable and extractable, but avoid peering into the future with trepidation that they may be less than certain and wrong. In avoiding looking at the future, they end up missing it.
Scanning & Uncertainty Inspiration and Call to Actions:
“Once you have glimpsed the world as it might be, it is impossible to live anymore complacent in the world as it is. Investing in scanning allows us to meet that future withe greater confidence, clarity, speed and alignment.”
Get immersed in scanning and futures uncertainty. Let us know what you think.
Burning question? Bulk sales? Follow up interest? Connect with the authors? Interview with contributor? Want to get involved in our next publication? When nothing is certain, anything and everything is possible.